Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.394236 1.600131 1.826398 2.093589 2.400619 2.742556 3.152518
2025-06-29 1.060827 1.319155 1.626683 2.020106 2.510661 3.103014 3.873970
2025-07-06 0.814578 1.085104 1.430048 1.902862 2.535482 3.354758 4.499837
2025-07-13 0.702252 0.994464 1.390525 1.967860 2.790566 3.924900 5.615113
2025-07-20 0.620395 0.928052 1.368533 2.047161 3.070697 4.564024 6.921833
2025-07-27 0.551920 0.867613 1.342592 2.112074 3.334108 5.211230 8.335899
2025-08-03 0.487315 0.801499 1.296095 2.135020 3.531796 5.781016 9.711419
2025-08-10 0.418395 0.717219 1.207536 2.074991 3.583316 6.119888 10.755317
2025-08-17 0.353915 0.630276 1.101403 1.967995 3.536535 6.282558 11.513549
2025-08-24 0.313182 0.578194 1.046584 1.940478 3.621150 6.677821 12.734948
2025-08-31 0.277714 0.530379 0.992381 1.905233 3.684243 7.038369 13.937740
2025-09-07 0.262332 0.517669 1.000141 1.986023 3.975321 7.859195 16.143274
2025-09-14 0.239321 0.488338 0.974950 2.004142 4.156232 8.511349 18.153633
2025-09-21 0.214098 0.451166 0.929655 1.975831 4.240018 8.983439 19.871290
2025-09-28 0.186161 0.404504 0.858983 1.884623 4.178478 9.145715 20.947838
2025-10-05 0.176780 0.396064 0.866775 1.963257 4.497600 10.170785 24.125951
2025-10-12 0.168853 0.389677 0.878027 2.051078 4.850332 11.321678 27.786089
2025-10-19 0.160195 0.380383 0.881497 2.121375 5.172626 12.449433 31.576736
2025-10-26 0.149298 0.364311 0.867267 2.147527 5.392633 13.366433 34.993398
2025-11-02 0.134280 0.336232 0.821079 2.088900 5.393829 13.748272 37.093344
2025-11-09 0.118263 0.303483 0.759300 1.982147 5.256167 13.759493 38.206967
2025-11-16 0.108311 0.284804 0.729948 1.954988 5.323272 14.310416 40.893169
2025-11-23 0.098987 0.266507 0.699201 1.919794 5.363645 14.796256 43.478264